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Have your say on the 2023 Draft Integrated Resource Plan

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Key points about this bill:

  • The Integrated Resource Plan 2023 has received approval from the Cabinet for public comments and consultation. This signifies a commitment to transparency and public participation in shaping the country’s energy future.

  • The draft IRP 2023 reviews the previously approved IRP 2019, highlighting significant changes in key assumptions. These changes include adjustments to electricity demand projections, Eskom’s energy availability factor, shutdown plans for coal-fired power plants operated by Eskom, and the costs associated with new power generation technologies.

  • The IRP 2023 covers two distinct time horizons, namely the 2030 and 2050 timeframes. Horizon One (2030) aims to address existing generation capacity constraints, while Horizon Two (2031-2050) involves an analysis of energy mix pathways to ensure sustainable security of energy supply.

  • Five scenarios have been developed for Horizon One, considering the readiness of projects in the pipeline. These scenarios evaluate various factors, including projects under construction, those with specified locations and commercial operation dates, and those without grid capacity reservations. Additionally, two modeled scenarios involve the reference case and the current gas program, as well as improved plant performance based on the generation recovery plan.

  • Horizon Two explores six energy pathways to assess the impact of different energy technologies on the country’s power system security. The reference pathway, based on least cost, serves as a benchmark against five other pathways guided by specific policy principles. These principles focus on decarbonizing the power system, phasing out existing coal-fired power stations post-2035, and exploring clean coal technologies, including carbon capture. These pathways aim to provide diverse and exploratory perspectives on the nation’s energy future.
Margaret van Tonder commented 2 hours ago
Carol Smit commented 30 mins ago
Pieter de Jager commented 2 hours ago
Kyle Schneider commented 15 mins ago
Carolyn Schmidt commented 1 hour ago
Michelle Smith commented 5 mins ago
Musa Dhlamini commented 2 hours ago
Yolanda Kriel commented 1 hour ago

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About this bill

The Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) 2023, approved by the Cabinet, is a document open for public comments and consultation. It builds upon the previously approved IRP 2019, covering two time horizons: 2030 and 2050. Notable changes from the 2019 version include shifts in electricity demand projections, Eskom’s energy availability, shutdown plans for coal-fired power plants, and the costs of new power generation technologies.

Key features of this bill:

  • Public Consultation: The Integrated Resource Plan (IRP) 2023 underwent a comprehensive approval process by the Cabinet, and it is now open for public comments and consultation. This emphasizes transparency and inclusivity in the decision-making process related to the country’s energy planning.

  • Two-Time Horizons: The IRP 2023 covers two significant time horizons, namely 2030 and 2050. This long-term planning approach allows for a strategic vision, addressing immediate generation capacity constraints (Horizon One) while also analyzing sustainable energy mix pathways for long-term security of supply (Horizon 2).

  • Adaptation and Revision: The draft of IRP 2023 reviews and revises key assumptions from the previous IRP 2019. Changes include adjustments to electricity demand projections, Eskom’s energy availability factor, coal-fired power plant shutdown plans, and the costs associated with new power generation technologies. This reflects a commitment to staying adaptable and responsive to evolving circumstances.

  • Scenario Development: For Horizon One, the plan considers five scenarios based on the readiness of projects in the pipeline. These scenarios assess different project initiatives, including those currently under construction, based on factors such as commercial operation dates, specified locations, and grid capacity reservations. This scenario-based approach adds depth to the planning process, accounting for various contingencies.

  • Energy Pathways: Horizon 2 involves the consideration of six energy pathways to ensure the country’s power system security at the least cost to the economy. The reference pathway serves as a benchmark for cost-effectiveness, while the other five pathways align with specific guiding policy principles. These principles focus on critical aspects such as decarbonization, phasing out coal-fired power stations post-2035, and exploring cleaner coal technologies, including carbon capture. This demonstrates a commitment to exploring diverse energy solutions aligned with policy goals.

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33 Responses

  1. The Government has broken everything that they have touched, why will this plan be any different? They are incompetent and corrupt.

  2. No I dont support the bill..The anc government have no clue how to run anything..its just another gag to steal tax payers money..this government will be voted out and all members assets be retrieved and all be prosecuted and put back on Robben Island..

  3. I’m sick and tired of plans . The ANC government has been making plans for the past 30 years and today everything is going to the dogs. They are the cause of this mess in every institution in the country . They just need to get up from their sofas stuffed with illegal money and get to work. No plans needed. They know how they stuffed Escom up , so
    just fix it and stop stealing.

  4. To date nothing that has been promised has ever been delivered.

    I have no faith in the ANC – The people of South Africa want a functioning country.

    Our government supports decisions on a global scale.
    They get millions and billions of Rands….

    Everything is worse not better and where’s all the money Gone?
    Certainly not fixing basic essentials in South Africa.

  5. The ANC isn’t democratic ,they are an autocratic government hellbent on being in total control like China & Russia whose ideology they religiously hold onto despite acting as a pretence democracy.How come Europe and the UK took less than 30 years after World War 2 to truely democratise.?Please ANC admit your poor professional input and allow an INDEPENDENT PROFESSIONAL set of modellers to draft an Integrated Resource. Plan by the private sector rather than the public sector who bow & scrap to ANC politicians.Critical thinking is required.

  6. Not Fully.
    The much vaunted “Carbon Footprint” thing that the WEF and other like-minded orginasations are punting, make about as much sense as take the jab.
    We have more than enough coal to power keep the lights on until kingdom come. Improve the efficiency of the existing power stations, while new nuclear options are put into place.
    For anything to work, the ANC need to step aside and let intelligent, non politically inclined people run the economy, otherwise all the monies would simply go into the ANC Feeding Trough. So we will get nowhere anyway.

  7. I no longer believe a single plan or promise made by government.
    They have only 1 aim and that is to increase their income on a daily basis.

  8. I agree with Margaret, the present Government is only interested in increasing their own Salaries on a daily basis and are not interested in the position of the people of this country, we will suffer as long as the ANC is in power , we NEED TO VOTE Them Out

  9. I do NOT support this bill. All past bills have been veritible farces, with no truth, or fulfillment happening. What’s more this ANC government has absolutely no interest in it’s people or this God fearing country. Do they really expect to keep pulling the wool over the eyes of ALL the nations that now realize they are busy destroying a country and its people with their continued greed, power and desired autocratic rulership. We will not bow down to this. We need a new government with people who care about it’s citizens. We believe in you no more ANC.

  10. Nothing will come of these promises. The current government is not capable of getting South Africa out of this mess they have created. They must be voted out, and replaced by capable people .

    1. The ANC needs to step down, they have ruined our country into the ground. They are criminals and thief’s stealing from the poor. Always just empty promises,they cannot be trusted.

  11. The ANC governing this country has proved time and again that they are a failure. Their actions, promises, policies and problem solving “plans” are empty , useless, self gratifying political posing from inadequately qualified ministers . Its time this whole picture was changed and the “energy crisis” was dealt with by experienced qualified experts, not politicians. All population groups want to see results and not continuing excuses nor pie in the sky promises that cannot be met. We are all tired of being “powerless” both with the inadequate Eskom and its partnership with the ANC and with the ANC government.

  12. Can this government show ANYTHING they have tackled successfully?

    Nothing at all. Run into ruin is their legacy. Unfortunately.

  13. Implementation detail on timeframes, budget planning, plausible energy projections, construction planning, and other such practical detail needs to be explained in order to attract the very essential investment to improve our energy situation

  14. They should have privatised energy supply a long time ago. When service delivery and customer satisfaction = profits, then we might see some actual change. The government can spice up and professionalise the bills with as many fancy words as they can lay their hands on, no-one will believe that any actual change will happen. Another point of consideration is that, over the last year, how many businesses and households have installed generators and solar, lightening the load on the grid, why do we still have issues with electricity delivery? No, that only meant that more was available to steal. It’s sickening.

  15. No, I don’t support any changes to the current bill.
    ANC is corrupt to the core.
    Where will all the money come from…Russia? Just remember what the did to the education bill where our rights as parents are taken away. Slowly but surely turning into communist state.

  16. Just another ANC promise. No chance in hell that they will get rid of the criminal runners of Eskom . There cadres are in control.
    ANC must go.

  17. It’s just a load of obfuscating verbiage that means nothing. This ANC government doesn’t have a clue about anything but self-enrichment.

  18. I DO NOT SUPPORT THE BILL UNLESS THERE IS A CHANGE IN GOVERNMENT SOTHAT THE FUNDS CAN BE USED EFFICIENTLY WITH NO EXCUSES WHEN ALL GOES WRONG . THE ANC HAS HAD ITS CHANCE AND IT HAS FAILED.

  19. What does the new IRP say about the installation of storage capacity? Is it following up on the good work that Eskom did about 30 years ago on pump power station storage capacity? As a result of that work 7 locations for pump power stations were identified out of about 86 possibilities, but only one, Ingula, were eventually built. We are going to need more Ingulas to store the renewable energy because the wind & sun availability fluctuates. Pump stations cost relatively little (it only takes a few years to build). To have 27GW of pump energy available, we’ll need about 20 Ingulas; Ingula cost R9.3 billion more than 10 years ago, so 20 of them in todays money will cost R400 billion spent over about 10 years, so +-R40 billion per year. That is little enough to be manageable, but for it to be available by say 2035, it has to start NOW. And I can’t see any other storage capacity that is going to cost even remotely close to this technology. For instance, Ingula is able to store +-R21 GWh of energy. To buy enough batteries to store that kind of energy will cost you at least R100 billion; compare that to Ingula’s R20 billion and a far, far longer operating life than a battery. I think that, apart from the upgrading of the grid, pump storage should be our first priority; if we had 20 Ingulas now, load shedding would have been significantly less even now, before we have more renewable generation connected to the grid.

  20. I have lost all faith in this horrible so-called GOVERMENT and I think we need to contact Elon Musk to make good on atleast the Electricity seeing that he said he can supply power to the whole country. All I wanted to say was said by these 3 people already.. Anna Fatti.. Paul Sheppard and Roelf Pretorius!! BUT IT IS SICKNING HOW MANY OF OUR COUNTRYMEN WILL STILL VOTE FOR THIS DUMM.. UNEDUCATED.. FRAUDULENT SOCALLED GOVERMENT.. eventhough they know nothing will become better or fixed!! All we can do is to keep looking up to PapaGOD and pray that the next(if another party wins) GOVERMENT will do better!!

  21. Everything is being blamed on apartheid, but when is the government going to stop stealing and lying to South Africa, we have had enough, and putting people in positions that they aren’t qualified for.

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